Another 9 percent said they will either probably or definitely cast their ballot for Biden.Trump’s support among Latinos in Arizona is also lagging. The Hill 1625 K Street, NW Suite 900 Washington DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 tel | 202-628-8503 fax.The contents of this site are ©2020 Capitol Hill Publishing Corp., a subsidiary of News Communications, Inc.The election handicapper’s decision to move Arizona from its toss-up column to “lean Democrat” came amid mounting signs that the state is slipping away from Trump despite his narrow 3.5-point win there four years ago.The poll results track with other recent public surveys.

The Cook Political Report showed several "ratings" changes for the month of July. The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the US House of Representatives, US Senate, Governors and President as well as American political trends. Given the current political climate and just over 100 days until Election Day, Republicans are at risk of losing their Senate majority.A newly released analysis by the nonpartisan. All Rights Reserved.New Survey Results From KFF/Cook Political Report Survey in AZ, Fl, and NC.

It has a margin of sampling error of 3 percentage points.Joe Biden looks to expand election battleground into Trump country,Trump puts Supreme Court fight at center of Ohio rally,Special counsel investigating DeVos for potential Hatch Act violation: report,Bubba Wallace to be driver of Michael Jordan, Denny Hamlin NASCAR team,Graham: GOP will confirm Trump's Supreme Court nominee before the election,Southwest Airlines, unions call for six-month extension of government aid,poll from the Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) and Cook Political Report,Biden leads Trump by 12 points among Catholic voters: poll,The Hill's Campaign Report: Biden goes on offense,Jacobin editor: Primarying Schumer would force him to fight Trump's SCOTUS nominee.A renowned singer lost her voice after a sexual assault.

Republican voters in the state aren’t as firm in their support of Trump as they are in Florida and North Carolina, with only about 73 percent saying they will definitely vote for the president in November. Some excellent analysis of the political realities, risks and rewards.Copyright © 2018 by Cook Political Report. One…,Impending SCOTUS Fight Could Split the Trump Coalition,Justice Ginsburg's Death Will Not Upend the Race Completely,Senate Ad Spending Update: Big-dollar GOP Donors Shift Focus to the Senate,Rating Change: Republicans Sound Alarm, Riggleman's VA-05 Moves to Toss Up,The Watergate, 600 New Hampshire Avenue NW, Washington, DC 20037.

The Democrats currently control the House, and the.For the Electoral College, there were several "ratings" changes that signal trouble for Trump.Florida moved from "Toss Up" to "Lean D"; Indiana from "Solid R" to "Likely R"; Kansas from "Solid R" to "Likely R"; and Missouri from "Solid R" to "Likely R.".Unless four Senate Republicans defect, and assuming no Democrat votes “aye,” Democrats will remain utterly powerless to stop President Trump’s third nomination to the Supreme Court.The Justice Department arrested 179 people and seized $6.5 million in a global darknet sting operation.MTV, Comedy Central and VH1 jointly donated $250,000 to pay fines, fees and restitution for about 1,250 Florida felons otherwise eligible to vote in November’s election.A senior Trump administration official used the White House briefing room to announce that he had dismissed a senior aide to Vice President Mike Pence before she filmed an election ad last week calling out failures in the coronavirus response.Second Amendment-related cases are likely to come before the Supreme Court between this year and next after the new justice is sworn in, and cases that were previously rejected may get a second life.A Chinese billionaire has been sentenced to 18 years in prison on corruption charges after writing a scathing essay about Chinese President Xi Jinping just months ago.NBA star LeBron James has reportedly been reaching out to convicted felons to help them pay any lingering fines that are preventing them from being able to vote.Fashion company Ralph Lauren will scale back its workforce following a downturn in physical shopping that the luxury retailer is blaming on the coronavirus pandemic.ESPN host Max Kellerman blamed “extremist, right-wing agitators” for a “big percentage” of recent riots.One of the officers who was on the scene when authorities shot and killed Breonna Taylor in a botched no-knock warrant defended his actions.Mark David Chapman, the man who killed John Lennon in 1980, said he assassinated the musician out of a desire for fame.After Massachusetts Rep. Joe Kennedy III's stunning Democratic Senate primary defeat, it's now up to cousin-in-law Amy Kennedy to salvage their family's political reputation in her southern New Jersey congressional race.The coming cold weather will hurt restaurants operating at reduced indoor capacity.Democratic nominee Joe Biden responded forcefully this week to the notion that his candidacy is a Trojan horse for a socialist agenda, claiming that his defeat of an actual socialist in the 2020 Democratic primary should be proof of where he stands politically.The Supreme Court delayed consideration of a case that restricts abortion amid President Trump's push to nominate a justice to fill a vacancy left by the late Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg.China has no right to “undermine" an international tribunal’s rejection of Beijing’s claim to sovereignty over most of the South China Sea, according to Filipino President Rodrigo Duterte.Senate majority within sight for Democrats,predicts they will likely maintain, if not grow their majority,As Supreme Court fight shapes up, Democrats’ ‘table’ still has impeachment on it,DOJ seizes $6.5M and arrests dozens in global opioid sting,Florida advocates rally to raise money, pay legal obligations, register felons to vote,Pence aide claims he fired official who later raised alarm over coronavirus response,Second Amendment cases likely to come up after SCOTUS seat confirmation,Chinese billionaire sentenced to 18 years in prison on corruption charges after publishing scathing essay about Xi Jinping,LeBron James seeks to help pay fines owed by Florida felons so they can vote in November: Report,Ralph Lauren to cut 15% of workforce following economic fallout due to coronavirus,ESPN's Kellerman: 'Extremist, right-wing agitators' to blame for many riots,Officer involved in Breonna Taylor case says officers did the 'legal, moral and ethical thing','I deserve zero, nothing': John Lennon assassin tells parole board he killed the Beatle for 'self-glory',Amy Kennedy risks family brand against political turncoat Jeff Van Drew,Restaurants seek help to prevent 4,000 closures,Biden tries to assure us he is not a left-wing Trojan horse for socialism,Supreme Court reschedules decision on whether to take up Mississippi abortion case to unspecified date,Filipino president rebukes China while emphasizing fear of 'nuclear war'.

"As of now, Democrats are a slight favorite to win the Senate majority," the report said, which cited multiple Republican strategists who see grim prospects for their party in November.Republicans currently hold 53 seats and Democrats have 45 seats.

The FiveThirtyEight polling average in Arizona shows Biden with a 4.8-point edge over Trump.The KFF-Cook poll carries some troubling signs for Trump’s reelection bid.

The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the US House of Representatives, US Senate, Governors and President as well as American political trends.RT @JessicaTaylor: We'll have a Senate rating change coming tomorrow morning to @CookPolitical by the way.....RT @JessicaTaylor: New from me at @CookPolitical: how Ginsburg’s passing & SCOTUS vacancy could affect the battle for the Senate.We’ll need….RT @amyewalter: Emergency Edition of @thetakeaway. This is how she got it back.Astrophysicist discusses possibility of life on Venus.